Export Credit Trends Survey
The Export Credit Trends Survey is a temperature gauge of the Swedish export industry reporting financial requirements, export order intake, employment projections, interest rates and strength of the Swedish krona, but also the companies’ sustainability requirements on suppliers and customers, and their investment plans order to reduce its climate impact.
Sweden has a small, open economy that is dependent to a large extent on global demand for products and services. The Swedish financial market is strongly linked to the international capital market. As such, there is substantial interest in following its economic and financial development to understand the challenges and opportunities ahead. The Export Credit Trends Survey is published twice per year, in June and December. It is currently available only in Swedish.
From the Export Credit Trends Survey June 2026
Export Orders
Just over three in ten companies report an increase in order intake over the past six months. The trend is particularly evident among larger companies. Looking ahead, the outlook remains positive, although smaller companies are less optimistic than in the autumn survey.
Geopolitics
Three out of four export companies report that the impact of geopolitical uncertainty has increased over the past six months. Looking ahead, concerns persist, with nearly six in ten companies expecting the impact of geopolitical uncertainty to continue increasing over the next twelve months.
Interest Rates
Export companies are less positive about the interest rate environment than in the autumn survey. Fewer consider current interest rates favourable, while expectations have shifted significantly, with a majority now anticipating rising interest rates over the coming year. Smaller companies are the most pessimistic about the outlook for interest rates.
Trade Tariffs
Just over three in ten export companies report having been negatively affected by US trade tariffs over the past six months. Looking ahead, uncertainty remains, with approximately the same proportion of companies expecting a continued negative impact over the next twelve months.
Employment
Employment plans have strengthened significantly in the spring survey. More export companies plan to recruit new employees in Sweden over the coming year, and the employment index has risen to one of its highest levels since 2016.